October 28, 2021

Build Boost

Businesss Like Heaven

1 Progress Inventory to Invest in and Maintain For good

Previously this week, PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ:PYPL) took a strike right after releasing its 2nd-quarter earnings report. Profits arrived in at $6.24 billion, about $30 million short of Wall Street’s forecast, and PayPal stock dropped 8% right after hours.

Individuals losses undoubtedly sting in the short expression, but it is greatest not to overreact. Instead, get a stage again and think about the big image. From my perspective, PayPal still appears to be like a smart very long-expression investment.

Here’s why.

Impression resource: Getty Illustrations or photos

Massive market chance

PayPal’s mission is basic: democratize monetary expert services. To that end, its fintech platform connects consumers and sellers in over 200 markets, enabling on the internet, cellular, and in-person payments. It also facilitates peer-to-peer transfers as a result of Xoom and Venmo, and delivers personalized purchasing encounters by way of the Honey platform.

In limited, PayPal’s small business design sits at the intersection of two key trends: electronic payments and e-commerce. And both equally are attaining traction promptly.

In actuality, details from Worldpay implies that digital wallets will seize 52% and 33% of on the internet and in-keep payment quantity, respectively, by 2024. And worldwide e-commerce gross sales are envisioned to rise at 13% per year over the same time period, in accordance to eMarketer.

So how huge is PayPal’s market place opportunity? Administration places it at $110 trillion in total payment volume (TPV). By comparison, PayPal facilitated $1.1 trillion in TPV around the past 12 months — approximately 1% of its addressable marketplace. That leaves this fintech enterprise with plenty of place to grow.

Woman using a QR Code to make a purchase with her smartphone.

Graphic resource: Getty Images

Ambitious expansion strategy

Lately, PayPal hit the accelerator on its expansion method. In the previous couple many years, the organization has made numerous acquisitions, and debuted a assortment of new products and products and services, each individual of which enhances its value to purchasers and sellers.

For instance, PayPal introduced assistance for cryptocurrency last calendar year, and now will allow cellular buyers to invest in, sell, and fund purchases with tokens like Bitcoin. It also introduced a Obtain Now, Pay out Later solution (Pay out in 4), furnishing buyers with an fascination-free of charge funding option at checkout. In both cases, these expert services have boosted engagement.

The corporation is also growing Venmo aggressively. In 2020, PayPal partnered with Visa to launch the Venmo credit card. And before this 12 months, the corporation launched business profiles on Venmo, permitting retailers to offer by means of the platform. Collectively, these moves lengthen PayPal’s capacity to monetize the well-liked cellular app, which now has around 76 million active accounts.

Additional just lately, the firm introduced PayPal Zettle in the United States. This platform aids retailers take care of gross sales, reporting, and stock across bodily and electronic areas. And it expands PayPal’s in-shop existence, building on the QR Code payment aspect it debuted in 2020.

Eventually, PayPal lately acquired rewards platform Honey, return remedies supplier Pleased Returns, and dispute administration expert Chargehound. Just about every of these mergers extends PayPal’s capability to participate in commerce. For occasion, Honey’s platform permits the company to have interaction buyers all through the discovery course of action (i.e. pre-order), and Satisfied Returns lets PayPal to offer you providers write-up-obtain.

Collectively, these innovations and acquisitions ought to help the company seize additional of its enormous addressable market.

Aggressive gain

PayPal has two important rewards. Very first, the company has created a greatly regarded and trustworthy manufacturer. PayPal presents seller security and fraud avoidance services at no charge — no other payments company does that. PayPal also features acquire safety to customers, allowing for them to use its electronic and mobile wallets devoid of possibility.

That advantage has brought 403 million lively consumers to its platform, aiding PayPal accomplish incredible scale. And that scale is the driving force behind the company’s next aggressive advantage: a robust network influence.

Exclusively, as extra shoppers sign up for PayPal, retailers profit from a broader range of opportunity consumers and as much more retailers sign up for PayPal, consumers profit from a higher vary of retailers. That virtuous cycle has been a highly effective tailwind lately, as evidenced by PayPal’s good financial overall performance.


Q2 2017 (TTM)

Q2 2021 (TTM)



$11.8 billion

$23.8 billion


No cost income stream

$2.7 billion

$4.8 billion


Data resource: PayPal SEC filings, Ycharts. TTM = trailing-12-months. CAGR = compound yearly expansion amount.

Here is the base line: PayPal has a big marketplace chance and an productive progress approach. Far more importantly, this fintech huge has created a solid moat about its business, creating it just about unattainable for a rival to dethrone the organization. Collectively, these facts variety a sound investment thesis. That’s why I system to hold this advancement stock eternally.

This write-up signifies the viewpoint of the writer, who may perhaps disagree with the “official” advice placement of a Motley Fool high quality advisory company. We’re motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our have — will help us all feel critically about investing and make choices that help us turn into smarter, happier, and richer.